OpenIFS@home: Using citizen science to improve our understanding of weather and hydrological forecasts

OpenIFS@home: Using citizen science to improve our understanding of weather and hydrological forecasts

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The history of HEPEX is deeply connected to ensemble forecasting and uncertainty analysis. Indeed, none of us could even imagine a forecast without uncertainties (apart from McFool). One direction of research is to investigate the value in improving forecasts using a coupled system and truly understand the interactions between the atmosphere and the land surface whilst analysing the associated uncertainties. However, any analysis is limited by the resources one has available. To run a large number of ensembles, one would…

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Integration of Early Warning Systems and Young Professionals

Integration of Early Warning Systems and Young Professionals

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Contributed by Nilay Dogulu, Lydia Cumiskey and Erika Roxana Meléndez Landaverde Early warning systems (EWSs) help society to prepare for, and respond to, all types of disasters, including those related to hydrometeorological hazards. The recent floods in Mozambique has clearly showed that EWSs are inevitable part of disaster risk management as they can save lives and minimize potential economic and environmental damages. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 specifically emphasizes the need to “substantially increase the availability of…

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Hydrological Forecasting in the XXIII Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources

Hydrological Forecasting in the XXIII Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources

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Contributed by Fernando Mainardi Fan (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil) The XXIII Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources (XXIII SBRH) will be the main event in the area of ​​Water Resources research and engineering in Brazil in 2019. It will provide a space for sharing and discussing relevant issues in the area, through professionals, academia and society during the week from November 24 to 28. The central theme WATER CONNECTS is focused on allowing us to connect professional…

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How model uncertainty, diagnostics & information theory are interconnected in earth sciences – Interview with Hoshin Gupta

How model uncertainty, diagnostics & information theory are interconnected in earth sciences – Interview with Hoshin Gupta

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Contributed by Ilias Pechlivanidis.  Hoshin Gupta’s work is among the most highly cited in the hydrological scientific field, and has received a number of awards and medals, including the 2014 EGU Dalton Medal and 2017 AMS RE Horton Lecture award. Hoshin has for many years been interested in a deeper understanding of models and data to be better used to enhance the learning process of how dynamical environmental systems work. In addition, particularly to many young researchers, Hoshin is well…

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A scientific “ambassador” beyond HEPEX – interview with Maria-Helena Ramos

A scientific “ambassador” beyond HEPEX – interview with Maria-Helena Ramos

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Contributed by Ilias Pechlivanidis.  During summer 2018, I could easily spot a single HEPEX member for her persistent forecasts regarding the (potential) winner of the 2018 World Cup international football tournament. Unfortunately her favourite team did not succeed at the end, but Maria-Helena Ramos does not need a 100% hit rate in predicting a football winner to secure her place in the HEPEX ‘wall of fame’; this has already been earned by her long-term commitment to the community, her continuous…

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