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Calibrating hydrological model by river gender improves model skill

Calibrating hydrological model by river gender improves model skill

Contributed by Professor Flora Poil Soon-to-be-published research funded by the international Hits-Sia-Ekoj research programme has shown that hydrological models can be significantly improved by using the link between river name and hydrological behaviour. Professor Poil explains: “Anecdotally, the name of a river is often determined by its behaviour; a male river is more often turbulent, a female river more often stable. We wanted to investigate this link further.” All across our planet our watercourses have been assigned gender by our…

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Breaking news: Hydrology is the oldest of all scientific disciplines

Breaking news: Hydrology is the oldest of all scientific disciplines

Posted on April 1, 2017 by Dr Professor McFools The general belief until recently has been that hydrology is a very young discipline — i. e. Homo Hydro is a quite young scientific species — but it is time to debunk this myth. Scientists from the Grand Old Duke University revealed in this issue of Environment (impact factor: highish) that they had found fossils believed to be from a previously unknown early hydrological model ancestor — one that could have…

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Can the world of hydrology accept the truth? Let the reign of MEPEX begin!

Can the world of hydrology accept the truth? Let the reign of MEPEX begin!

Contributed by Dr. Meteo McFool and his meteorological accomplices For too long, we have tolerated so called Hydrologists claiming to use their voodoo magic to make enhanced forecasts or claim they know anything about the water cycle. These so-called ‘scientists’, ‘engineers’ and ‘experts’ (seriously?) are dangerous as they talk to the public, decision makers and politicians, pretending to possess some esoteric knowledge about extreme events such as floods or droughts — without acknowledging that all their wisdom comes from the…

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HEPEX should ban members from indecisive terms like ‘probabilistic’

HEPEX should ban members from indecisive terms like ‘probabilistic’

Contributed by Dr. McFools Inspired by the recent decision in a State of Florida agency to discourage its public employees from using the term ‘climate change’, I propose that HEPEX should officially ban its members from using non-actionable and confusing words like ‘probabilistic’, ‘uncertain’, and ‘unreliable’ in any official communication. This will ensure that the HEPEX activities are seen as decisive and taken seriously, and prevent members from losing even more scientific credibility. I propose a simple style guideline to…

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EXTRA – Ensemble predictions are not real forecasts – EXTRA

EXTRA – Ensemble predictions are not real forecasts – EXTRA

Contributed by McFools Forecasting has since the beginning of time been the process of making statements about events whose actual outcomes (typically) have not yet been observed. Consequently, adding uncertainty to your forecast permitted you to make many statements about the future. However, theorists claim that you cannot simply add uncertainty as you wish: no, the forecast has to be reliable and skilful! It seems like an awful lot of work! Previously, we used deterministic, high resolution forecasts and changed…

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