Category Archives: forecast communication

Why are meteorologists apprehensive of ensemble forecasts?

Contributed by Anders Persson, Uppsala, Sweden A colleague in my world-wide meteorological network made me aware of a CALMet conference in Melbourne, i.e. dealing with meteorological education and training. Through the website you can access the program with more or … Continue reading

Posted in ensemble techniques, forecast communication, opinion | 2 Comments

The elusive optimal decision rule and the impact of forecasting

Contributed by Micha Werner, IHE Delft and Deltares This winter just passed I was faced with the kind of dilemma of the type I am sure many find all too familiar. I was the designated driver one weekend for my … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, forecast communication, forecast users | 1 Comment

Understanding public responses to flood warnings

Contributed by Michael Cranston, RAB Consultants, Scotland The Winter 2015 floods in the United Kingdom and Ireland led to severe and widespread flooding for many communities.  The introduction of storm naming by the Met Office and Met Eireann the same … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, floods, forecast communication, forecast users, operational systems | Leave a comment

#FloodHack – Help improve the Global Flood Awareness System

Are you interested in global flood forecasting? Are you a good code hacker? Or perhaps a bit of both? Then maybe a Hackathon would be something for you? On the 16-17 January ECMWF invites everybody interested in improving the Global Flood … Continue reading

Posted in activities, announcements-events, ensemble techniques, forecast communication, forecast users, meetings | Leave a comment

How the community contributes to urban flood control

Contributed by Verônica Bernardes (MSc in Civil Engineering – Urban Drainage – CEFET, Minas Gerais, Brazil) On September 4, 2015, I interviewed Solange Fonseca de Araujo, a specialist in Social Psychology, who works for the city of Belo Horizonte (the … Continue reading

Posted in floods, forecast communication, forecast users, interviews, social participation | Leave a comment

Because it’s Friday… comments invited!

Posted in decision making, forecast communication, forecast techniques, forecast users | 13 Comments

99 ways to think more clearly?

by Anders Persson Another “international bestseller” that, just like Daniel Kahneman’s book on fast and slow thinking, for once deserves its name is Rolf Dorbelli’s “The Art of Thinking Clearly” from 2012, now in pocket. It is also available in … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, forecast communication, forecast users | Leave a comment

Real-time forecasts for your holidays in Switzerland. Keep tuned and give feedback!

In Switzerland the 1st of June represents the unofficial start of the flash-flood season. Against this, in 2013 we selected June 1st to launch our www.drought.ch platform on early recognition of critical droughts (see this post here). At that moment, … Continue reading

Posted in case-studies, columnist, droughts, experiment, floods, forecast communication, monitoring, operational systems | 2 Comments

Learning from past disasters

Contributed by Pavel Raška, J. E. Purkyně University in Ústí nad Labem, Czechia When I was asked to write a post to the HEPEX blog about the use of historical experience in current flash flood risk reduction, I firstly thought … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, forecast communication, risk management, social participation | Leave a comment

Using the Web for Environmental Big Data

Contributed by Claudia Vitolo and Wouter Buytaert (Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London) About 90% of all the data in the world has been generated over the last two years1. At this rate, in 2015 we are expected to … Continue reading

Posted in data systems, forecast communication, operational systems, projects | Leave a comment