Category Archives: operational systems

Understanding public responses to flood warnings

Contributed by Michael Cranston, RAB Consultants, Scotland The Winter 2015 floods in the United Kingdom and Ireland led to severe and widespread flooding for many communities.  The introduction of storm naming by the Met Office and Met Eireann the same … Continue reading

Posted in decision making, floods, forecast communication, forecast users, operational systems | Leave a comment

Developing and running an ensemble prediction system – Interview with Jutta Thielen-del Pozo

Posted by Maria-Helena Ramos (IRSTEA) I met Jutta Thielen-del Pozo in 2005, when I went to the JRC in Ispra, Italy, to take a post-doctoral position. I had been doing research in hydrology for some time, but I didn’t know … Continue reading

Posted in floods, interviews, operational systems, social participation | Leave a comment

Short-term optimization of a tropical hydropower reservoir operation using deterministic and ensemble forecasts

Contributed by Fernando Fan, member of the LSH Research Group Guest Columnist Team As we said in previous posts, hydropower is the most important source of electricity in Brazil and it is subject to the natural variability of water yield. … Continue reading

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Uncertainty in operational hydrological forecasting: Insights from SMHI’s services

Contributed by Ilias Pechlivanidis  (SMHI), member of the SMHI Guest Columnist Team Background The production of hydrological forecasts generally involves the selection of model(s) and their setup, calibration and initialization, verification and updating, generation and evaluation of forecasts. However, the precision of hydrological forecasts … Continue reading

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The Current State of Operational Global (and continental) Scale Flood Forecasting

contributed by Rebecca Emerton, PhD Student at the University of Reading and ECMWF After reading Chantal’s recent blog post discussing some of the limitations for international flood forecasting, and last week’s interview with Thomas Adams and Tom Pagano discussing their … Continue reading

Posted in ensemble techniques, floods, operational systems | 4 Comments

Flood forecasting systems around the world – Interview with Thomas Adams and Tom Pagano

As the 1st Edition of the book “Flood Forecasting, A Global Perspective” has just been released, Thomas Adams (UCAR) and Tom Pagano (BoM) [see their bio below], editors, recall how the idea of the book was born and what they … Continue reading

Posted in case-studies, interviews, operational systems | 1 Comment

Forecasting over international borders: limitations and solutions for large-scale or continental forecasting systems

Contributed by Chantal Donnelly (SMHI), member of the SMHI Guest Columnist Team Global and continental forecasting schemes already exist and are used to inform disaster management in countries without sufficient national forecast systems of their own, as inputs to operational … Continue reading

Posted in columnist, data systems, operational systems | 2 Comments

Evaluation of an operational high resolution HEPS to a southern Brazilian basin

Contributed by Vinicius Siqueira, member of the LSH Research Group Guest Columnist Team. CPTEC is the Brazilian center for weather and Climate Studies (Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos). It has recently developed a high-resolution version of the … Continue reading

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“Ex tempore”- El Niño Ready Nations (ENRN)

Contributed by Bapon Fakhruddin Seasonal forecasting techniques today are far more advanced than they were 40 years ago, enabling ensembles of seasonal forecast simulations with state-of-the-art climate models that produce a probability distribution of possible outcomes at various lead times … Continue reading

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Hydrological forecasting needs and practices in Brazil

Contributed by Fernando Fan and members of the LSH Research Group Guest Columnist Team Brazil is the largest country in South America, covering 8,515,767 km2, which corresponds to 47% of the continent. Two of the world’s major river basins are located … Continue reading

Posted in columnist, forecast users, operational systems | 5 Comments