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Category: projects

OpenIFS@home: Using citizen science to improve our understanding of weather and hydrological forecasts

OpenIFS@home: Using citizen science to improve our understanding of weather and hydrological forecasts

The history of HEPEX is deeply connected to ensemble forecasting and uncertainty analysis. Indeed, none of us could even imagine a forecast without uncertainties (apart from McFool). One direction of research is to investigate the value in improving forecasts using a coupled system and truly understand the interactions between the atmosphere and the land surface whilst analysing the associated uncertainties. However, any analysis is limited by the resources one has available. To run a large number of ensembles, one would…

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Protect your city from floods with the IMPREXive game

Protect your city from floods with the IMPREXive game

We all know that the HEPEX community loves games and interactive challenges. We have already six games available in our Resources page. One of these games (“Pathways to running a flood forecasting centre: an adventure game”, by Louise Arnal & colleagues) has inspired a very nice online game developed by Arctik, a public relations, communications and evaluation consultancy, within the EU Horizon 2020 Imprex research project. Do you want to play it? In the game, you’ve landed a job as…

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Improving forecasting of flooding from intense rainfall through interdisciplinary research

Improving forecasting of flooding from intense rainfall through interdisciplinary research

Contributed by Dr Linda Speight, University of Reading. In England and Wales alone 3 million properties are at risk of surface water flooding. Having spent the past year speaking to a number of experts in the field (see below), I feel confident saying the universal biggest challenge facing everyone involved in forecasting flooding from intense rainfall is communicating the uncertainties around the location and timing of flood events. Whether you are a researcher looking at developing novel ways to visualise…

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Nice hydrographs for everyone, from everyone: Introducing eWaterCycle II

Nice hydrographs for everyone, from everyone: Introducing eWaterCycle II

Contributed by Rolf Hut, TU Delft. “Nice hydrographs! Can you now compare your model to ‘that other hydrology groups model’?” The PhD student suppresses the urge to roll her eyes. Her supervisor is asking her to go back into code-hell. That other model is written in Fortran and she works in Python. It took her two months to get the Python model used in her group running in the first place. Realizing she needed to install an obtuse library on…

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Can hydrological forecasting contribute to Science & Art projects?

Can hydrological forecasting contribute to Science & Art projects?

Contributed by Maria-Helena Ramos and Louise Arnal. In 1991, L. D. James starts his book chapter stating that “[i]n content, hydrology is a science; in practice it is an art”. The discussion that follows reflects on the links between science and practice at the time of writing, questioning how much “the art of hydrology [was becoming] increasingly outdated” and highlighting the “pressure for new methods” to keep on securing decision makers in water resources planning with “sound scientific information for…

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