Category Archives: risk management

Using ensemble forecasts to inform risk-based operations of a reservoir in Northern California

Contributed by:  Chris Delaney, Sonoma County Water Agency; John Mendoza, Sonoma County Water Agency; Brett Whitin, California Nevada River Forecast Center; Rob Hartman, Consultant Lake Mendocino is a reservoir located in Mendocino County, California, about 110 miles north of the … Continue reading

Posted in case-studies, decision making, ensemble techniques, operational systems, risk management, water management | 3 Comments

Flood forecasting in the UK: what should we learn from the winter 2015 floods? Interview with Hannah Cloke and David Lavers

Contributed by Louise Arnal In November 2014, a HEPEX post entitled “Flood forecasting in the UK: what should we learn from the Winter 2013/14 floods?” was written by Liz Stephens and Hannah Cloke (it can be found here). This post … Continue reading

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“Ex tempore”- El Niño Ready Nations (ENRN)

Contributed by Bapon Fakhruddin Seasonal forecasting techniques today are far more advanced than they were 40 years ago, enabling ensembles of seasonal forecast simulations with state-of-the-art climate models that produce a probability distribution of possible outcomes at various lead times … Continue reading

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UK and Ireland floods in December 2015 and January 2016

by Richard Davies December 2015 saw three storms – Desmond, Eva and Frank – conspire to make it the UK’s wettest month on record. The heavy rainfall brought severe flooding to parts of Scotland, Ireland and northern England, where … Continue reading

Posted in floods, operational systems, risk management | 1 Comment

UNISDR Science and Technology Conference on the Implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030

by Bapon Fakhruddin, Science Committee Member, IRDR & Senior Specialist, Tonkin and Taylor International, New Zealand. The Sendai Framework, a landmark international framework adopted in 2015, calls for a shift from managing disasters to managing risks. This requires a more … Continue reading

Posted in operational systems, risk management | 1 Comment

Learning from past disasters

Contributed by Pavel Raška, J. E. Purkyně University in Ústí nad Labem, Czechia When I was asked to write a post to the HEPEX blog about the use of historical experience in current flash flood risk reduction, I firstly thought … Continue reading

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For discussion: Are we getting close to integrating water and climate information?

Contributed by Tom Pagano, a HEPEX guest columnist for 2014 The opinions expressed here are solely the author’s and do not express the views or opinions of his employer or the Australian Government. Following on a post earlier this week about the upcoming … Continue reading

Posted in columnist, decision making, droughts, forecast techniques, meetings, risk management, seasonal prediction | Tagged , | 2 Comments

From operational hydrological forecast to reservoir management optimization

Contributed by Marie-Amélie Boucher The interaction between end-users and researchers has long been a central preoccupation of the HEPEX community (see, for instance, this post and this announcement). The recent workshop on operational hydrological forecasting and reservoir management optimisation that … Continue reading

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Pakistan Flood 2014- Lesson Identified Never Learned

Contributed by Bapon Shm Fakhruddin I wrote similar article right after 2010 floods.  I had a chance to work in Pakistan to conduct some climate risk management assessment and training program for the Government officials on climate risk management during … Continue reading

Posted in case-studies, floods, forecast communication, risk management | 1 Comment

Ensemble streamflow forecasting in the Três Marias Basin, Brazil

Contributed by Fernando Mainardi Fan Hydropower is the main electricity source of Brazil (80% to 90%) and an economic sector that shows a growing interest to use hydrological ensemble forecasts. Short-term power production is indeed adjusted using streamflow predictions of … Continue reading

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