HEPEX workshop on seasonal hydrological forecasting

Norrkoping photo

Seasonal Hydrological Forecasting Workshop

21-23rd September 2015, Norrköping, Sweden

Thank you all for your participation!

The presentations and group photo are now available here 

The workshop summary if available here

  • Workshop Agenda and Book of Abstracts: here
  • Info about how to reach SMHI, the ice-breaker (Day 1) and the dinner (Day 2):  here
  • Presentations will be live streamed. Check here how to follow them from your PC

Keynote talks

Upskilling – Uncertainty reduction and representation in seasonal forecasting

QJWangBy Dr. QJ Wang, senior Principal Research Scientist, CSIRO, Australia:

“I will share with participants on the various methods we have developed to improve forecast skill and reliability, extend forecast range, and make forecast products more tailored to user needs in Australia” Read more about QJ Wang

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Hydrological Outlook UK: an operational river flow and groundwater level forecast at monthly to seasonal scale

ChristelPrudhommeby Christel Prudhomme, CEH, UK:

“I will talk about the Hydrological Outlook UK, which is the first operational forecast system for Great Britain that delivers monthly outlooks of the water resources for the next 1 to 3 months for both river flow and groundwater levels. It is based on an expert-merging of three complementary methods: a statistical method based on river flow analogue and persistence; a Streamflow Ensemble Prediction System applied to selected catchments and boreholes; and a national hydrological modelling system driven by rainfall scenarios based on the UK Met Office ensemble rainfall 1 and 3 months forecasts.”Read more about C. Prudhomme

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Processing weather forecasts for hydrological ensemble forecasting and decision making in hydropower

ET-StatkraftBy Erik Tjøtta, Statkraft Energi AS, Norway:

“In the presentation we outline how information from weather forecasts for various horizons can be combined, using quantile mapping, and processed through the models to produce a seasonal hydrological ensemble forecast.Read more about Erik presentation

Seasonal forecasting is increasingly becoming part of water management activities and tools. This workshop will bring together researchers, operational forecasters, practitioners and end-users from all around the world to discuss the latest developments in hydrological seasonal forecasts and applications in the water management sector. Read more

The workshop is free of charge and will start on Monday morning, 21 September and end at midday on Wednesday, 23 September. For information on accommodation and travel, please see below.

Following the workshop, 24-25 September, the annual HYPE course Multi-basin modelling at the large scale using HYPE will be held at SMHI. The focus of the course will be on: processes in the cold regions (ice, snow) and spring flood forecasting. More information about the HYPE course you find here.

Workshop themes

The workshop will be organized in 6 themes with panel discussions, oral presentations, poster sessions, and lots of opportunity for discussions and sharing of experience:

  1. User needs of seasonal forecasts (hydro-power, groundwater, agriculture, insurance companies, health, safety-risk reduction)
  2. Statistical, dynamical and hybrid systems for predicting seasonal meteorological and hydrologic variables
  3. Progress in sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction
  4. Pre-processing, post-processing and calibration methods to enhance seasonal forecasting skill (data assimilation, initialisation, hindcasts)
  5. Communicating seasonal meteorological and hydrological forecasts  in water management and risk-based decision making
  6. Examples of climate and water services providing and using seasonal forecasts

Deadlines and Milestones

Deadline for receipt of abstracts Extended to 30 June 2015 (after deadline, contact us here)
Letter of acceptance 01 August 2015
Letter of schedule 15 August 2015 (see program here)
Deadline for registration 15 September 2015

How to submit an abstract? (closed)

Submit a short abstract following the template (download abstract template here) to ilias.pechlivanidis@smhi.se, by the deadline indicated above.

How to register? (closed)

Registration is done through this web form.

Venue & Logistics

SMHI-photo

The venue for the HEPEX workshop will be at the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Folkborgsvägen 17, Norrköping, Sweden (http://www.smhi.se/en/).

Information on travels and accommodation can be found here: Workshop_SMHI_venue-hotel-transport

ef_fargSupport funding: Energiforsk, Swedish energy research centre

Organizing and scientific committee:

Local contact:

Ilias Pechlivanidis
SMHI / Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute
Folkborgsvägen 17, SE – 601 76
Norrköping, Sweden
Phone: +46 (0)11 495 82 58 | ilias.pechlivanidis@smhi.se

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