“One thing you need to know about seasonal forecasts”

“One thing you need to know about seasonal forecasts”

Contributed by Rachel Bazile, Marie-Amélie Boucher and Chris White. “It is that they have no skill…” This is how Matt Newman from NOAA’s ESRL referred to seasonal forecasts in his opening presentation at the Second International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) / Seasonal to Decadal (S2D) Prediction. Organized by NCAR, the meeting which was held from Sept. 17 to 21 in Boulder, Colorado, had gathered more than 300 international scientists from both the S2S and S2D prediction communities… but…

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